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Updated weekly ยท macro awareness, not financial advice

The theses we're tracking.

Structural shifts the market is mispricing โ€” each one scored, dated, and updated as the evidence moves.

we show our work  ยท  we keep score

POWER
AI compute demand structurally outruns power supply.
Hyperscaler capex and model scaling are colliding with multi-year grid interconnection queues. Power โ€” not silicon โ€” is becoming the binding constraint, and the market is still pricing the bottleneck at the chip layer.
78/100 conviction
โ–ฒ +4 strengthening
RARE EARTHS
Rare-earth concentration forces Western supply re-shoring.
Permanent-magnet supply for motors, wind and defence stays concentrated in processing, not just mining. Policy and procurement are responding, but capacity takes years and the strategic premium is widening.
62/100 conviction
โ–ฒ +3 strengthening
NUCLEAR
Nuclear re-rates as AI's base-load of last resort.
Hyperscalers are contracting directly for firm, 24/7 carbon-free power, and the only source that clears at scale is nuclear. Restarts, SMRs and long-term PPAs are moving from headline to procurement.
68/100 conviction
โ–ฒ +2 strengthening

Notifications

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Confidence score changes
When a thesis's conviction moves up or down.
The "why" โ€” reasoning updates
When new evidence changes the argument behind a call.
New theses
When we open a new structural thesis.
Saved โœ“
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INFLCT publishes macro awareness, not financial advice. Conviction scores reflect our own structural positioning โ€” not price targets โ€” and are not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research.
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